Moe September 13th, Tips and Previews
Best Bet - Race 1
13
Senegalia $3.8
Senegalia is set to run a big race here after a nice jump out at Ararat over 850 metres.
She pinged the barriers and led easily on what was a blustery, windy day and she had to cut the breeze the whole way.
The three-year-old filly from the Ciaron Maher & Dave Eustace stable travelled into the very strongly under no pressure at all and had the eventual winner of the jump out well and truly covered.
She draws a much better barrier than her main rival in Miss Middle Park and jockey Harry Coffey is racing in fine form.
Expect Coffey to find the lead from the inside barrier, kick clear off the bend and pinch a winning break.
Next Best - Race 6
3
Full Knots Ahead $3.7
Full Knots Ahead enters this race having had the 2400-metre race under her belt to ensure she is ready to peak at that distance range.
The Tasmanian mare ran third over 2400 metres at Bendigo on what looked to be much worse than a soft six track after sitting outside the lead.
It was a brave performance considering the conditions and looks to find a much more suitable race from a map point of view.
Craig Newitt will bound this mare to the front and her fitness base will hold her in good stead late in the event.
Best Roughie - Race 2
14
Talent Quest $12/$3.4
Talent Quest was heavily tried in the betting when resuming from a spell at Moe over 1114 metres on August 29 but could only manage a fifth place finish in a field of eight.
The main excuse for that performance is he did race on a heavy track that day and the return to a drying Moe surface will hopefully see the best of him.
He has since had a sharp 1000-metre jump out at Cranbourne which he won when sporting the blinkers, but interestingly trainer Mick Bell has opted not to apply them here.
The jump out confirmed that this horse has no issues running past rivals and holding on for victory.
He should be able to find the lead in this race at his own leisure and prove tough to run down.
QUADDIE
Q
$52.50 for 50%
Our second best bet of the card comes up in the first leg of the quaddie and we will take that mare one out to find some percentage.
The favourite looks a slight risk in the second leg and the final two legs have a host of chances so that will force us to go a bit wide.
Leg 1: 3
Leg 2: 2, 3, 4
Leg 3: 1, 4, 5, 12, 13
Leg 4: 1, 2, 4, 7, 12, 18
Outlay: $52.50
Flexi Percentage = 50%
