Flemington August 1st, Tips and Previews
Best Bet - Flemington Race 7
1
War Machine $3.70
War Machine resumes after producing a teasing autumn campaign.
The big boy was always thereabouts; however, he never lived up to the lofty expectations.
The Group 1 winner has turned heads recently at the trials, and I suspect he will be cherry ripe for a first-up tilt.
His record fresh must be respected, and he has been smashed in most all-in markets.
Hard to toss!
Ndola was a brilliant first-up winner at the track and distance.
The Justify gelding is a straight-six specialist, and he looks extremely well placed in this company.
The camp is flying at present, and his pilot is arguably in career-best form.
Watch for him late!
Next Best - Flemington Race 8
2
Rise At Dawn $8.00
Rise At Dawn was good without winning first-up from a spell.
The Almanzor gelding looks back to his brilliant best, and I suspect he has been trained to the minute for his second-up assignment.
He loves Flemington more than Bart Cummings, and his record at the trip speaks volumes.
The apprentice’s claim is advantageous, and his exposed form is too strong to ignore.
The carpark draw is the primary concern.
Sass Appeal will start your race favourite after producing a near-perfect autumn preparation.
The So You Think mare deserves her shot at this level, and the 53kg puts one hoof on the till.
The inside draw will ensure a soft trip in-transit, and the tsunami of early money tells a story.
Acid test!
Best Roughie - Flemington Race 9
1
Along The River $14.00/$4.00
Along The River is over the odds!
The Written Tycoon gelding is a model of consistency, and I suspect he has the fitness edge on the majority of his rivals.
The 2kg apprentice claim helps his case, and the sharp drop in grade works in his favour.
Barrier eight is advantageous late in the day, and his opening quote has been more than nibbled at.
Can play a role with even luck in transit.
Just Like Gaby is too classy to dismiss.
The Pierata mare is a first-up specialist, and her best performance here could prove fences and panels too strong for her rivals.
Her pilot is riding winners for fun at present, and the Ciaron Maher polish will play a role at the pointy end of a contest.
I would prefer to support her case deeper into her preparation over further.
QUADDIE
Q
$120 for 100%
Touchdown has one hoof on the till in the opening leg of the quaddie.
The Almanzor gelding is ultra progressive, and he finds a suitable assignment second-up from a spell.
War Machine can get the job done in the Group 3 Aurie’s Star, while several runners gain a gurnsey for insurance purposes.
Rise At Dawn and Sass Appeal will battle out in the penultimate event on the program, while it’s a field job in the lucky last!
Leg 1: 10
Leg 2: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Leg 3: 2, 10
Leg 4: Field
Outlay: $120
Flexi Percentage = 100%
