Caulfield October 10th, Tips and Previews

Best Bet - Caulfield Race 7

6

Sheza Alibi $1.35

Sheza Alibi strides out to 2000m for the first time.

Her victory in the Group 1 Makybe Diva was sensational, and she looks well placed in the company.

The Saxon Warrior mare is building a near-perfect racing career, and her effort fresh behind Autumn Glow reads well for this event. 

She handles all conditions, and she only has to produce near her best to win on Saturday.

Short enough in the market, however, she is a star!

Birdman was ultra-impressive in the Group 1 Underwood Stakes.

The Free Eagle gelding dropped on the field as heads turned for home, and the fat lady was in full voice before the final furlong.

The obvious danger to the short-priced commodity, and his record on the journey, must be respected. 

The grandstand weight may prove decisive. 

Next Best - Caulfield Race 8

5

Blind Raise $3.60

Blind Raise has been ultra-impressive during the early stages of his career.
 
The Ace High gelding was a dominant winner of the Group 3 Guineas Prelude, and the form out of that particular event has stood up time and again.
 
The longer trip suits, and Blake Shinn’s key booking speaks volumes.
 
The perfect inside draw will allow him to occupy the box-seat throughout, and if the gaps appear as they cut the ribbons, he can loom to win late.
 
His versatility alone puts him in winning calculations, and his exposure to different surfaces makes him hard to pot.
 
Warwoven comes to the heath up and about after producing two recent demolition jobs.
 
The Sword Of State Colt oozes class, and the big boy always makes his own luck close to the bunny.
 
The form around him is exceptional, and I suspect he has further improvement to come for the preparation.
 
From barrier six, Rachel King can pilot the field or occupy the one-out, one-back position, and if the field walks or jogs up front, the race could be over as they run for the doctor.
 
I expect him to jump well into the red; however, I am happy to bet around the Bjorn Baker-trained galloper at his first attempt at Caulfield.
 
The longer trip may also play into his rivals’ hoofs late.

Best Roughie - Caulfield Race 9

13

Changing Colours $9.00/$3.00

Changing Colours is over the odds.

The Autumn Sun mare is winning for fun at present, and she has been progressing through her grades superbly this campaign. 

The progressive six-year-old deserves her shot at Group 1 glory, and a victory here would be a great reward for effort for her and her talented trainer, Lucy Yeomans. 

The 52kg puts her into all winning conversations, and her record at the trip must be respected.

The awkward gate and significant class rise are among the primary concerns. 

Warnie is ticking along nicely.

The Highland Reel gelding was a brilliant winner two starts back at Sandown in a red-hot field, and he was good without threatening at the elite level at his latest outing.

The 57kg won’t pose any issues, and the big boy will be savaging the line late from another suburb.

His racing pattern and style always require an element of good fortune. 

QUADDIE

Q

$160 for 100%

Sheza Alibi has one hoof on the till in the Might And Power.

The boom four-year-old mare is flying, and this looks a mere formality before tackling a Golden Eagle.  

Warwoven and Blind Raise can battle it out in the time-honoured Caulfield Guineas, while Tron Bolt and Diameter gain a gurnsey for quaddie insurance purposes. 

We have a handful of gallopers flying the flag in a wide-open edition of the Toorak Handicap, while the lucky last is wide open like a tin a tuna.

Leg 1: 6, 
Leg 2: 2, 4, 5, 6
Leg 3: 1, 2, 3, 6, 13
Leg 4: Field

Outlay: $160

Flexi Percentage = 50%

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