Ballarat October 21st, Tips and Previews
Best Bet - Race 8
11
Miss Balvenie $4.4
Powered away to win her maiden over 1100 metres at Murtoa in fine style and now gets her chance to progress through the grades.
Barrier six shapes as the perfect barrier.
Blaike McDougall can get her nestled into the one-out and one-back position or on the leaders back then peel out to let down with filly’s nice change of gears.
She is a nicely bred juvenile who will only improve on top of the ground.
Excited to see what she has to offer on a better surface than the heavy track she faced on debut.
Next Best - Race 2
8
Romany Rocks $2.8
Romany Rocks will all but likely break her maiden today based on her debut run.
She hit the line very nicely behind Bay of Islands in a fast-run 1200-metre race at Donald when she was held up three-back on the fence.
Wide barrier will suit her and allow her to fully stride out and hit top gear early in the straight rather than that stop-start nature she faced last start.
The rise to 1400 metres should suit her perfectly given how strong she was late in the maiden race.
Best Roughie - Race 8
4
Mostly Sunny $14/$4.4
No idea how this five-year-old mare is $14 in this BM-64 race.
She has raced in this grade three times in her last seven races and has not missed a place in any of them.
First-up over 1400 metres looks ideal for her as she builds towards the 2000-metre distance range.
Expecting her to find a nice spot in the run from barrier five and she will battle away up the straight.
Might find one or two sharper than her with a few sprinters engaged in this, but she has the stamina to hold on should the race be a high-pressure event.
QUADDIE
Q
$60 for 100%
If Miss Balvenie can get us home in the last leg w might just very well be in for a nice collect.
Want to take her one out as she is our best bet on the program and we have also get our best roughie coming up the in the third leg, which we all add some insurance around.
Leg 1: 1, 2, 5, 6, 7, 11
Leg 2: 5, 6, 7, 8, 11
Leg 3: 3, 9
Leg 4: 11
Outlay: $60
Flexi Percentage = 100%
