Mornington September 9th, Tips and Previews
Best Bet - Race 7
11
Miss Guggenheim $3
Backing in Miss Guggenheim to produce a winning run after a nice resuming effort at Sandown last start.
The four-year-old mare from the Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr. stable drew barrier 12 when she was first-up and was snagged back to settle third last in the run.
She ran on well without threatening to win and now she finds a much more suitable race and barrier draw.
Damian Lane should be able to land in the first four with cover in the run and be able to peel from behind horses into clear running.
Step up to 1500 metres suits this horse and she will strip fitter for the first-up effort.
Next Best - Race 4
6
Licciardi $3.1
Damien Oliver takes the ride on Licciardi in what looks like a kitchen sink job for this four-year-old mare.
She raced over 1000 metres on the Ballarat synthetic surface with Ben Allen aboard a fortnight ago and finished runner-up behind odds-on favourite Universal Lady after carrying 61kgs.
Oliver hops on here and we should expect anywhere between a length or two of improvement which will make her the clear winning hope in this race.
She returns to the scene of the crime of her only win and looks likely to make it two from two at the track on her to that so far elusive second victory.
Best Roughie - Race 9
3
Thunder Pace $17/$4.2
Thunder Pace is yet to run out the placings so far in his current five-run campaign.
His form, albeit on the synthetic surfaces, has seen him win one win race alongside four placings with some tough tenacious on-pace efforts.
A return to the turf tracks comes at the right time and he drops significantly in grade from a BM-78 to BM-64.
Granted, he has to lug around an extra six-and-a-half kilos from his last start, but his front-running tactics make him a nice each-way proposition.
QUADDIE
Q
$72 for 50%
Leaving Heir To The Throne out of the first leg and boosting up the percentage by taking Just As Soon and True Marvel.
We will also take our best bet Miss Guggenheim alongside Angelic Scent and then it’s wide, wide for the third and final leg.
Leg 1: 4, 9
Leg 2: 2, 11
Leg 3: 2 ,3 ,4, 6, 8, 9
Leg 4: 2, 3, 5, 8, 9, 12
Outlay: $72
Flexi Percentage = 50%
