Coleraine August 5th, Tips and Previews
Best Bet - Race 5
1
Irish Playboy $5
Irish Playboy is now a five-year-old gelding at the peak of his career.
His runs have been hidden this preparation and he is actually going much better than what reads on the form guide.
After an eight-week break from April to June, he resumed on a heavy eight track at Sandown where it was impossible to make up ground.
He then went up to the mile in a brutally run 1600-metre event at Caulfield which made him race as a flat as a pancake over 2000 metres at the same track the start after.
The distance drop to 1800 metres into this race is okay.
He gets the blinkers applied for the first time and John Allen has been booked to ride.
Next Best - Race 8
2
Bones $5.5
Bones resumes here with a host of gear changes that suggest he is ready to fire first-up.
The cross-over nose band comes off, synthetic hoof filler comes off and the winkers also comes off.
It would suggest Mitch Freedman has this horse humming along better than ever and his jumpouts would suggest so too.
His recent spin around St Arnaud was a second-place jumpout effort over 900 metres behind Lombardo who has since come out and won a BM-64 race at Morphettville.
He has drawn wide on the track but expect John Allen to sort out any issues from the wide gate when chasing down the leaders.
Best Roughie - Race 2
2
Darwin's Theory
This might look like a stab in the dark, but Darwin’s Theory might just run a bold race on on debut over 1400 metres.
Most notably, veteran jockey Brett Prebble has been booked to ride this horse after Rose Pearson rode him in his most recent jumpout at Traralgon over 1100 metres.
He was making up ground late in the jumpout to suggest the kick-off point in his career at 1400 metres will see him suited better than the sharp distances of trial and jumpouts.
Paddy Payne has a knack of keeping the ability of his horses well-hidden at the trials and jumpouts and the Dundeel breeding of this gelding suggests the further he goes the past 1400- metre distance the better he will be.
Worth a speculative each-way play at the price.
QUADDIE
Q
$50 for 23.14
We can find some great value in this quaddie by favouring horses who will likely race on the pace and can handle the wet conditions.
Going thin in the first two legs and wide in the last two.
Leg 1: 1, 6
Leg 2: 5, 9
Leg 3: Field
Leg 4: 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 10
Outlay: $50
Flexi Percentage = 23.14%
